|
FOR IMMEDIATE
RELEASE
U.S. and Global Third-Party Logistics Market Analysis is Released
STOUGHTON,
WI,
May 21, 2009 – After 11 modest months in 2008, third-party logistics
revenues dove in December and have remained depressed in 2009. While a few
third-party logistics providers (3PLs) could drown, most are treading water
and some are swimming strongly.
Our recent survey and
analysis shows gross revenue (turnover) for 3PLs down by 8.8% for
2009. Net revenues (gross margins) were less impacted for many non-asset
transportation managers and leading value-added warehousing 3PLs.
Expeditors, C.H. Robinson,
Kuehne + Nagel and other major transportation managers report net revenues
decreased 3% to 10%. Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and
amortization (EBITDAs) and earnings before interest and tax (EBITs) fell
proportionately. Additionally, net revenues are expected to be down another
5% this year for the transportation management group.
In a recent survey, for
3PLs as a group 60% are reporting lower gross and net revenues for this
year. Among value-added warehousing 3PLs, 57% are reporting increased net
revenues. Automotive and retail vertical industries were the main drags on
3PL market growth for 2009 with projected revenues down 32% and 23%
respectively. The food and grocery vertical and 3PL returns management
subsegment are up for the year. GENCO, Kenco and New Breed expect revenues
to increase in 2009.
Table
1. Estimated Revenue and Net Income Reductions by 3PL Segment - 2009
|
3PL Segment |
Gross
Revenue |
Net
Revenue |
Net
Income |
|
|
|
|
Domestic
Transportation Management (DTM) |
-10%
±2% |
-2.5%
±2.5% |
-2.5%
±2.5% |
|
|
International Transportation Management (ITM) |
-12%
±2% |
-4.5%
±1.5% |
-7.5%
±2.5% |
|
|
Dedicated
Contract Carriage (DCC) |
-9%
±1% |
-9%
±1% |
-2.5%
±2.5% |
|
|
Value-Added
Warehousing & Distribution (VAWD) |
-3%
±1% |
-3%
±1% |
-3%
±1% |
|
|
Overall |
-7%
±1% |
-4.5%
±1.5% |
-4%
±1% |
|
2008
Results – U.S.
2008 could be remembered
as “lackluster” or “it could have been worse.” Gross revenues for
third-party logistics in the United States grew 6.7% in 2008. Net revenues
grew 4.7% compared to 7.2% in 2007 as the logistics part of the economy
continued to slow before it dove in December. Combined EBIT for 3PLs was
8.9% of net revenue. Net income increased only 1.5% and was 5.3% of net
revenue. Overall growth and the net profit ratio
of 94.7 was the weakest since we began tracking it for FY1996.
Figure
1. U.S. 3PL Market 1996 – 2010E (US$ Billions)
We estimate that 2009 will
be the first recorded negative year in 3PL gross revenue growth since we
started tracking it in 1996.
The complete report is
available from Armstrong & Associates online at: Guides &
Market Research Reports.
About Armstrong &
Associates, Inc.:
Armstrong & Associates,
Inc. is a supply chain market research and consulting firm specializing in
3PL market research, provider benchmarking, strategic planning, mergers and
acquisitions, logistics outsourcing, centralized transportation management
programs, and supply chain systems evaluation and selection. Armstrong &
Associates publishes Who’s Who in
Logistics and Supply Chain Management – The
Americas
and
Who’s Who in Logistics and Supply Chain
Management – International. Recent research papers include
Warehousing in
North
America – 2009 Market Size, Major 3PLs, Benchmarking Costs, Prices and
Practices
and
Trends in 3PL/Customer Relationships.
For more
information please contact:
Richard or
Evan
Armstrong
+1-800-525-3915, or e-mail
Dick@3PLogistics.com
or
Evan@3PLogistics.com.
Source:
Armstrong &
Associates, Inc.
100 Business
Park Circle, Suite 202
Stoughton,
WI 53589 USA
Fax: (608)
873-5509
Website:
www.3PLogistics.com
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